Politics

GOP Leads Early Voting in Miami-Dade After 30+ Years of Democrat Wins

Doug Goldsmith
3 min read
2 comments
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In a surprising turn, Miami-Dade County—a Democratic stronghold for over 30 years—is seeing a notable GOP lead in early voting. According to recent tallies, the Republican party holds an advantage of nearly 12,000 votes. Former President Donald Trump has gathered over 36,000 early votes in Miami-Dade, while Vice President Kamala Harris trails with 24,228 votes. Third-party candidates, meanwhile, have collectively received 15,954 votes, a significant number that surpasses the gap between the two main candidates. Overall, this marks a substantial 15.2% swing in favor of the GOP.

For the GOP, this shift represents a pivotal moment in a county that has consistently voted Democrat in every election since 1992. Although Miami-Dade is in Florida, a state that has become increasingly Republican, the county itself has a strong Latino presence, which has historically leaned Democratic. This shift in voting patterns is significant, especially considering Florida’s reputation as a state that has been leaning toward the GOP under Trump’s influence.

Florida, Trump’s home state and governed by Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis, has remained solidly conservative in recent years. However, Miami-Dade, with its largely Latino and Hispanic demographic, has been a key Democratic stronghold in Florida elections. The Latino vote is seen as essential for both parties, but it’s especially crucial for the Democratic Party, which has traditionally relied on this demographic to maintain dominance in the region. Losing support in Miami-Dade could have broader implications for the Democratic Party, particularly in states like Arizona and Nevada, where Latino voters make up a considerable portion of the electorate.

A shift like this in Miami-Dade signals that Republicans are making inroads with Latino voters, a group that Democrats have long counted on to support their policies. If similar trends hold in other key swing states with substantial Spanish-speaking populations, it could indicate a challenging election ahead for the Democratic candidate.

For now, GOP leaders are celebrating this lead in Miami-Dade, viewing it as a positive sign of what’s to come. The Republican National Committee has been working to connect with Latino voters, emphasizing issues such as economic stability, family values, and support for small businesses—factors they believe resonate deeply with Latino communities. In contrast, the Democratic strategy has focused on social issues, immigration, and healthcare reform.

Political analysts suggest this trend could indicate a larger realignment of Latino voters, who have shown increased interest in Republican messaging on economic growth and job security. For Democrats, Miami-Dade’s early voting numbers are a wake-up call, signaling that they may need to address new concerns within the Latino electorate to maintain their support.

As early voting continues, Miami-Dade’s numbers will be closely monitored. Should the Republican lead hold, it would represent a landmark shift in one of Florida’s most populous and politically influential counties. Both parties are expected to intensify their outreach to Latino voters in the final days leading up to Election Day, aiming to secure this critical voting bloc.

Of course, it’s worth remembering that every vote matters in an extremely tight election.

2 comments

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  • Michigan has 8,000,000 eligible voters, and 8,400,000 registered voters. Before his passing, Bob Dole commented on the possibility of voting, post-mortum. Ballots burned. Ballots found in the storm drain. Nothing is certain.

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