In sports, if a team obliterates their opponent in one game, there’s a tendency for that team to assume the same result in the future. Sometimes this sports analogy works in politics as well. There have been certain exceptionally popular politicians who get reelected without much issue.
But the political landscape is ever-changing. It can be especially different between runs for the U.S. Senate. U.S. Senate terms are six years long, so the burden of getting voters to reelect them only happens every six years.
Nevertheless, even the most popular members of the upper chamber try not to be overly confident. That doesn’t seem to be the case with one Utah senator who’ll be on the ballot in 2024. Mitt Romney appears to be rather confident in his chances.
Recently, Romney did an interview with Politico. The first-term Utah senator was asked if he planned to seek a second term. Romney responded, “I’m convinced that if I run, I win.” Pretty confident stance by a Republican who constantly took jabs at the face of his own party.
Romney wasn’t shy about ridiculing former President Donald Trump. In fact, Mitt Romney was the only Republican senator to vote to impeach the former president twice. He went rogue in the first impeachment by being the only senator to vote, “aye.”
Six other GOP senators joined Romney during the second sham impeachment. Both failed. But the question isn’t so much whether Romney will run without President Trump’s support as it is whether Utah voters will object to the way he turned his own party’s president.
It seems a little arrogant to just assume you have an election in the bag just because you decide to run. Romney did dominate his primary opponent in 2018. He coasted to victory in the general election the following November. Romney may well have reason to be confident.
But since he coasted through his first election to the U.S. Senate, Romney has ticked off a number of Republicans. Nevertheless, he hasn’t ticked off D.C.’s top Republican brass. Kentucky Senator and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell strongly supports Romney.
Other members of the GOP leadership are also behind a Romney bid for reelection. McConnell even went so far as to tell Politico, “It’s important for the Republican Party and the country that he runs again.” Romney may have good reason to be confident.
While he doesn’t see eye-to-eye with President Trump, Romney is still a well-known face. However, like in sports, there are the occasional “upsets.” They usually happen to teams that grow overly confident. Republicans don’t need to look much past the recent 2022 midterms for proof of that.